Šencur vs Smartno 1928 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Šencur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
SEN
3 - 1
NKD
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
ALU
5 - 3
SEN
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
SEN
3 - 0
BEL
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
SEN
0 - 3
TOL
51%
25%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
ALU
4 - 1
SEN
63%
21%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Smartno 1928
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
SMA
0 - 4
ALU
15%
21%
63%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 0
SMA
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
SMA
0 - 2
KRS
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
SMA
4 - 1
PES
84%
11%
5%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
CEL
0 - 1
SMA
42%
23%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |