Garliava vs Panevėžys II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
5º
15º
8º
31
12º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Garliava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
GKA
0 - 0
FKK
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SIA
3 - 3
GKA
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GKA
2 - 0
MIN
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 1
GKA
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GKA
1 - 1
FKT
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Panevėžys II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
PAN
3 - 0
SIA
51%
22%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MIN
4 - 1
PAN
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 1
TRA
35%
24%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
6 - 1
PAN
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PAN
4 - 1
LIE
63%
19%
18%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |