Gares vs AD San Juan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
48.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CDI
2 - 1
GAR
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
GAR
2 - 0
ATL
18%
25%
57%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +3 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
OBE
3 - 1
GAR
50%
25%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
GAR
0 - 0
COR
32%
29%
39%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 0
GAR
41%
25%
34%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AD San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
SJU
2 - 1
BUR
48%
26%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAN
0 - 1
SJU
25%
26%
49%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
SJU
4 - 1
SUB
55%
24%
21%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SJU
2 - 0
PAM
64%
22%
14%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
CDI
1 - 0
SJU
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |