Gares vs Oberena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
49.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
COR
0 - 2
GAR
75%
17%
9%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
GAR
1 - 2
RIV
24%
23%
53%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
IDO
0 - 0
GAR
74%
17%
10%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
GAR
0 - 2
CHA
16%
22%
62%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CDC
0 - 0
GAR
66%
20%
15%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
OBE
0 - 1
BUR
35%
26%
38%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 1
OBE
39%
25%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
OBE
2 - 1
SUB
35%
25%
40%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
SJU
3 - 1
OBE
66%
21%
13%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
OBE
1 - 1
CDI
21%
21%
58%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |