Gares vs Idoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
39.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CDB
1 - 0
GAR
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GAR
1 - 3
CDO
32%
24%
44%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ROT
1 - 0
GAR
60%
20%
21%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
GAR
45%
24%
30%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
ERR
4 - 1
GAR
54%
23%
23%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Idoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
IDO
1 - 0
AOI
25%
22%
53%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 2
IDO
63%
19%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
IDO
1 - 1
PEN
44%
22%
33%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
IDO
2 - 5
CDL
22%
20%
58%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
IDO
1 - 4
CDI
42%
24%
35%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |