Gares vs FC Bidezarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
51.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
13º
18º
13º
34
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
47 | 74 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 72 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 65 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 64 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 58 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 55 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 52 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 50 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 50 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
12º
|
29% | |
|
|
14º
|
19 | 34 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 32 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 28 |
15º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
86.5% | 87.5% |
|
Relegation
|
13.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BUR
5 - 1
GAR
35%
24%
42%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
GAR
1 - 0
CAN
57%
22%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
GAR
0 - 0
ART
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
GAR
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
GAR
2 - 1
ROT
48%
23%
30%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Bidezarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BID
2 - 1
PAM
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ATL
2 - 3
BID
37%
26%
38%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
COR
3 - 1
BID
35%
27%
39%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BID
0 - 0
VAL
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
BID
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |