Gares vs Cantolagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
CDI
3 - 1
GAR
35%
25%
39%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
GAR
1 - 1
AZK
63%
22%
15%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ABL
0 - 1
GAR
26%
23%
52%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
GAR
2 - 0
LAG
71%
19%
10%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CDB
0 - 1
GAR
53%
22%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cantolagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
PAM
0 - 1
CAN
49%
24%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CAN
2 - 1
BUR
33%
27%
39%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 1
CAN
50%
24%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAN
4 - 0
CDC
55%
24%
22%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 1
CAN
68%
19%
14%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |