Gareji vs Spaeri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
9º
1º
51
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GAR
2 - 0
ADU
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
GAR
1 - 0
LOK
65%
19%
15%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 0
GAR
14%
22%
64%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GAR
5 - 0
SAM
54%
22%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
GAR
2 - 1
GOR
30%
24%
46%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 5
LOK
54%
23%
22%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 0
KOL
65%
21%
15%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
MET
3 - 1
SPA
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
LTB
0 - 1
SPA
11%
15%
75%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 2
SPA
17%
20%
63%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |