Gareji vs Spaeri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
44.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MET
2 - 3
GAR
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GAR
2 - 1
NOR
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
WIT
0 - 2
GAR
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GAR
0 - 0
MER
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
GAR
51%
23%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SPA
4 - 2
NOR
62%
20%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
SPA
41%
24%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SPA
0 - 0
SHU
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
MET
1 - 5
SPA
25%
24%
51%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SPA
4 - 0
WIT
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |