Gareji vs SFC Shturmi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
9º
2º
26
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 65 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 63 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 60 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 55 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 37 |
9º
|
41% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 25 |
10º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
39.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
48.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
12% | 1% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 46% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 53% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 1
GAR
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
GAR
1 - 1
WIT
67%
20%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
GAR
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ADU
3 - 5
GAR
32%
25%
44%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LOK
4 - 1
GAR
23%
23%
54%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
SFC Shturmi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 2
LOK
37%
24%
39%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 1
SFC
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 1
MET
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
SIO
2 - 1
SFC
61%
22%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 0
ADU
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |