Gareji vs Merani Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
7º
2º
14
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
GAR
4 - 1
NOR
78%
14%
8%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
GAR
0 - 1
KOL
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
WIT
0 - 3
GAR
16%
22%
61%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 2
GAR
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
GAR
3 - 2
LOK
74%
16%
9%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
GAR
4 - 1
NOR
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
LOK
5 - 2
NOR
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 3
SPA
20%
22%
59%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
MER
0 - 0
NOR
64%
20%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 5
DIN
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |