Gareji vs Merani Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
7º
2º
14
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 2
GAR
63%
18%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 0
GAR
58%
21%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
GAR
1 - 3
SPA
32%
24%
44%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MET
2 - 3
GAR
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GAR
2 - 1
NOR
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 3
SAM
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SPA
4 - 2
NOR
62%
20%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GAR
2 - 1
NOR
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 2
MER
35%
24%
41%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SHU
1 - 0
NOR
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |