Gareji vs Merani Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
WIT
0 - 2
GAR
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GAR
0 - 0
MER
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
GAR
51%
23%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GAR
1 - 2
SHU
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SPA
0 - 2
GAR
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 2
MER
35%
24%
41%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SHU
1 - 0
NOR
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 2
MET
62%
20%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
WIT
2 - 3
NOR
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
4 - 1
NOR
49%
24%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |