Gareji vs Merani Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
43.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+103%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
GAR
1 - 2
MET
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
MER
1 - 0
GAR
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
KOT
2 - 2
GAR
32%
24%
45%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
GAG
3 - 0
GAR
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
GAR
8 - 0
CHI
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
NOR
3 - 2
MET
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 1
MER
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 0
SPA
40%
24%
36%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
MET
2 - 2
NOR
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
NOR
2 - 1
SIO
28%
24%
48%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |