Gareji vs Locomotive Tbilisi analysis

Gareji Locomotive Tbilisi
66 ELO 56
16.3% Tilt 12.8%
916º General ELO ranking 1885º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
65.2%
Gareji
19.4%
Draw
15.4%
Locomotive Tbilisi

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
Gareji
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.4%
Win probability
Locomotive Tbilisi
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gareji
+28%
+38%
Locomotive Tbilisi

Points and table prediction

Gareji
Their league position
Locomotive Tbilisi
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
51
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Gareji
67
67
100%
FC Rustavi
65
65
100%
Sioni
61
61
100%
Spaeri
51
51
100%
Locomotive Tbilisi
51
51
100%
Dinamo Tbilisi II
51
51
100%
Aragvi Dusheti
49
49
100%
SFC Shturmi
45
45
100%
WIT Georgia
41
41
100%
Kolkheti Khobi
10º
20
20
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Gareji
Locomotive Tbilisi
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Gareji
Locomotive Tbilisi
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gareji
Gareji
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jul. 2024
KOL
Kolkheti Khobi
0 - 0
Gareji
GAR
14%
22%
64%
66 51 15 0
27 Jul. 2024
GAR
Gareji
5 - 0
Samtredia
SAM
54%
22%
25%
64 61 3 +2
21 Jul. 2024
GAR
Gareji
2 - 1
Dila Gori
GOR
30%
24%
46%
63 76 13 +1
10 Jul. 2024
SAM
Samtredia
0 - 0
Gareji
GAR
35%
23%
42%
63 60 3 0
01 Jun. 2024
GAR
Gareji
0 - 1
FC Rustavi
MET
61%
21%
18%
64 58 6 -1

Matches

Locomotive Tbilisi
Locomotive Tbilisi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jul. 2024
LOK
Locomotive Tbilisi
2 - 1
Aragvi Dusheti
ADU
53%
24%
23%
55 56 1 0
27 Jul. 2024
LOK
Locomotive Tbilisi
0 - 0
FC Telavi
TEL
32%
24%
44%
55 65 10 0
20 Jul. 2024
BOR
Borjomi
0 - 6
Locomotive Tbilisi
LOK
15%
18%
67%
54 42 12 +1
10 Jul. 2024
LOK
Locomotive Tbilisi
1 - 5
Gagra
GAG
31%
23%
46%
54 64 10 0
01 Jun. 2024
LOK
Locomotive Tbilisi
3 - 3
Kolkheti Khobi
KOL
57%
22%
21%
54 51 3 0