Gareji vs WIT Georgia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
9º
1º
41
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
GAR
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ADU
3 - 5
GAR
32%
25%
44%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LOK
4 - 1
GAR
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
GAR
2 - 1
KOL
76%
16%
9%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
MET
2 - 3
GAR
25%
25%
50%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
WIT Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
WIT
3 - 0
LOK
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 1
WIT
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MET
4 - 1
WIT
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
WIT
1 - 0
SIO
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 1
WIT
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |