Gareji vs FC Rustavi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
9º
1º
65
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2024 |
SIO
2 - 0
GAR
40%
24%
36%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
GAR
4 - 1
SFC
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 1
GAR
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
GAR
1 - 1
WIT
67%
20%
14%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
GAR
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Rustavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2024 |
MET
0 - 0
LOK
54%
23%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 0
MET
22%
26%
53%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MET
1 - 0
ADU
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
MET
3 - 1
SIO
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 1
MET
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |