Gareji vs Aragvi Dusheti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
9º
2º
32
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 65 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 63 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 60 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 55 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 37 |
9º
|
41% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 25 |
10º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
39.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
48.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
12% | 43% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 53% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
GAR
1 - 0
LOK
65%
19%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 0
GAR
14%
22%
64%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GAR
5 - 0
SAM
54%
22%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
GAR
2 - 1
GOR
30%
24%
46%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 0
GAR
35%
23%
42%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aragvi Dusheti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 1
SFC
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
LOK
2 - 1
ADU
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ADU
0 - 2
SAM
40%
23%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
ADU
3 - 2
DIN
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 1
ADU
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |