Gardner–Webb vs USC Upstate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
69.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gardner–Webb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
WTR
0 - 1
GWU
11%
16%
73%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
GWU
2 - 1
PST
63%
18%
19%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
LGW
2 - 3
GWU
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
RFU
1 - 0
GWU
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
GWU
0 - 4
HPT
10%
16%
74%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
USC Upstate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
SCU
1 - 2
HPT
33%
22%
46%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
NCA
2 - 3
SCU
19%
20%
62%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
LGW
0 - 1
SCU
11%
16%
72%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
SCU
5 - 1
PST
86%
9%
4%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
WTR
1 - 4
SCU
7%
13%
79%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | +1 |