Garde Nationale vs Gueumeul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
32%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Garde Nationale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
SNI
4 - 1
GDN
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
GDN
2 - 3
NOU
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MOD
2 - 2
GDN
36%
25%
39%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
GDN
1 - 2
ITT
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
GDN
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gueumeul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
GUE
2 - 2
CON
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
ITT
2 - 4
GUE
44%
24%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
GUE
3 - 2
MOD
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
NOU
3 - 3
GUE
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
GUE
1 - 1
SNI
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |