Gardabani vs Shavnabada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gardabani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
SOK
1 - 8
GAR
14%
19%
68%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
GAR
5 - 0
APK
75%
15%
10%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
RUS
0 - 1
GAR
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
GAR
4 - 2
SAR
35%
24%
41%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
FKM
2 - 2
GAR
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Shavnabada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
GAR
6 - 2
SHA
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
SHA
2 - 4
TSK
10%
20%
70%
|
29 | 67 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
WIT
4 - 0
SHA
82%
12%
6%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
SHA
4 - 1
KOJ
17%
19%
63%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | +6 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
SHA
1 - 5
NOR
14%
17%
69%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |