Gardabani vs Merani Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gardabani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
SHA
1 - 8
GAR
8%
14%
78%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GAR
6 - 0
SOK
89%
8%
3%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
APK
1 - 8
GAR
13%
16%
71%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
GAR
2 - 0
RUS
50%
23%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 5
GAR
31%
23%
46%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
NOR
3 - 4
AMI
77%
14%
9%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GAR
2 - 2
NOR
64%
20%
17%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 7
TSK
14%
21%
65%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
WIT
0 - 1
NOR
69%
17%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
KOJ
0 - 1
NOR
33%
23%
44%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |