Gap vs Tarbes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ROD
2 - 0
GAP
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
GAP
2 - 1
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
GAP
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
GAP
0 - 1
CON
71%
18%
12%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BEZ
2 - 2
GAP
30%
24%
45%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
TAR
1 - 0
GDB
53%
26%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LEP
1 - 2
TAR
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
TAR
0 - 1
UZE
49%
25%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
COL
1 - 3
TAR
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
TAR
1 - 0
CAN
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |