Gap vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
40.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ASB
1 - 1
GAP
69%
19%
13%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
GAP
3 - 1
PLA
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
FCG
0 - 3
GAP
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
GAP
0 - 1
PFC
38%
28%
35%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
COL
4 - 2
GAP
41%
28%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
3 - 1
PFC
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
COL
3 - 2
FRE
30%
29%
41%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 1
BAS
26%
28%
47%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
NIO
0 - 3
FRE
44%
28%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 1
GUI
28%
29%
44%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |