Gap vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
PFC
1 - 0
GAP
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
GAP
2 - 2
COL
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
BAS
5 - 0
GAP
72%
18%
9%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
GAP
1 - 1
NIO
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
GUI
5 - 0
GAP
72%
19%
9%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
FCG
1 - 1
PFC
25%
29%
46%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
COL
0 - 0
FCG
44%
28%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
FCG
1 - 4
BAS
21%
27%
52%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
NIO
3 - 0
FCG
63%
23%
15%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
FCG
1 - 2
GUI
20%
28%
51%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |