Gap vs Colomiers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CAN
3 - 1
GAP
60%
24%
16%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
GAP
0 - 1
TAR
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ROD
2 - 0
GAP
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
GAP
2 - 1
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
GAP
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Colomiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
COL
3 - 1
GDB
44%
28%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LEP
2 - 0
COL
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
COL
0 - 0
UZE
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
COL
1 - 0
PAU
29%
27%
44%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 1
COL
70%
21%
10%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | +1 |