Gap vs Colmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
BAS
5 - 0
GAP
72%
18%
9%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
GAP
1 - 1
NIO
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
GUI
5 - 0
GAP
72%
19%
9%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
GAP
2 - 3
CAN
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
STR
2 - 1
GAP
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Colmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
COL
0 - 2
PFC
23%
29%
48%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 0
COL
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
COL
0 - 3
NIO
32%
29%
39%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
GUI
2 - 0
COL
71%
20%
10%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
COL
0 - 3
CAN
26%
28%
46%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |