Gap vs Béziers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
GAP
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GAP
1 - 4
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
SAE
6 - 0
GAP
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CON
1 - 0
GAP
35%
25%
41%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GAP
1 - 1
ALB
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Béziers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BEZ
2 - 0
ALB
57%
22%
20%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
BEZ
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
BEZ
1 - 0
LEP
44%
24%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
BEZ
1 - 1
AGD
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
UZE
2 - 0
BEZ
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |