Gap vs Albi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
MON
3 - 2
GAP
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
UZE
6 - 1
GAP
51%
26%
24%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
GAP
1 - 1
PAU
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
GDB
0 - 0
GAP
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
GAP
0 - 2
LEP
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Albi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 2
GDB
45%
27%
28%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
LEP
2 - 2
ALB
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 3
UZE
25%
27%
48%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
COL
1 - 0
ALB
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 2
CAN
19%
25%
56%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |