Gandzasar vs Shirak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gandzasar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
ULI
1 - 0
GAN
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
GAN
3 - 0
KIL
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
IMP
1 - 0
GAN
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
GAN
1 - 6
PYU
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
MIK
2 - 0
GAN
61%
22%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
SHI
4 - 1
KIL
43%
27%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
PYU
4 - 1
SHI
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
BAN
5 - 1
SHI
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
SHI
0 - 2
ULI
19%
29%
52%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
IMP
2 - 1
SHI
66%
21%
14%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |