Gandzasar vs Lernayin II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
2º
5º
3º
2
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gandzasar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
GAN
2 - 2
ARA
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
MIK
1 - 2
GAN
57%
21%
23%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
WAR
1 - 0
GAN
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 0
GAN
21%
25%
54%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
BKM
1 - 1
GAN
31%
27%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lernayin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
BKM
4 - 3
LAR
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
LAR
2 - 5
SYU
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LAR
2 - 3
SHI
78%
13%
9%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
BAN
2 - 0
LAR
65%
19%
17%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
LAR
1 - 4
PYU
25%
22%
54%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |