Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda Final
Global 2-4
Gandzasar vs FC Aktobe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gandzasar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
GAN
1 - 0
MIK
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SHI
2 - 2
GAN
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
IMP
1 - 2
GAN
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
GAN
1 - 1
PYU
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BAN
1 - 1
GAN
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Aktobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
ATY
0 - 2
FCA
18%
26%
56%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 1
AST
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 1
ORD
60%
23%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
ZHE
0 - 0
FCA
27%
28%
46%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 0
FCI
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |