Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-5
CF Gandia vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Gandia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
MNC
2 - 2
GAN
45%
30%
26%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
GAN
6 - 1
MLL
54%
27%
18%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
ELD
1 - 0
GAN
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
ALB
2 - 0
GAN
53%
29%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
GAN
2 - 1
VAL
55%
27%
18%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
FCB
0 - 0
GIM
81%
14%
5%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
GIM
2 - 1
GIR
46%
30%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
GIM
0 - 0
JUP
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
CCF
1 - 1
GIM
73%
19%
7%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
GIM
1 - 0
LEV
31%
32%
38%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |