Gambsheim vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
73.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
16.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
CAE
0 - 2
TFC
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
TFC
2 - 1
IST
57%
26%
17%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
ASS
0 - 0
TFC
49%
27%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
TFC
0 - 0
MON
21%
28%
52%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
TFC
1 - 0
BAS
43%
28%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |