Gambia vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
55.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
SEN
3 - 1
GAM
72%
19%
9%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
RSA
0 - 0
GAM
68%
22%
11%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2015 |
UGA
1 - 1
GAM
55%
24%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
GAM
1 - 0
MTN
73%
17%
9%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GAM
2 - 0
TAN
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
SEN
3 - 1
GAM
72%
19%
9%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
SEN
3 - 1
BDI
76%
18%
6%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GHA
1 - 2
SEN
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
SEN
0 - 2
ALG
50%
26%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
RSA
1 - 1
SEN
38%
27%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |