Gambia vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
60.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2016 |
GAM
0 - 0
ZAM
22%
26%
52%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
GAM
0 - 0
MTN
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
MTN
2 - 1
GAM
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
NAM
2 - 1
GAM
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
GAM
1 - 1
NAM
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
RSA
0 - 0
CMR
36%
29%
35%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CMR
2 - 2
RSA
47%
27%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
RSA
1 - 0
ANG
54%
27%
19%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
ANG
1 - 3
RSA
27%
28%
45%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ANG
1 - 2
RSA
27%
28%
44%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |