Gambia vs Mauritania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GAM
2 - 0
TAN
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
GAM
76%
17%
7%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
GAM
0 - 3
CIV
16%
25%
59%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CIV
3 - 0
GAM
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GAM
0 - 0
MTN
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MTN
0 - 1
UGA
15%
20%
65%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
UGA
2 - 0
MTN
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
EQG
3 - 0
MTN
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
MUS
0 - 2
MTN
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MTN
1 - 0
MUS
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |