Gambia vs Mauritania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
GAM
0 - 2
MTN
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
ALG
4 - 1
GAM
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
TAN
2 - 1
GAM
37%
27%
35%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
GAM
1 - 1
MAR
20%
28%
51%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
GAM
1 - 2
ALG
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
GAM
0 - 2
MTN
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
MTN
0 - 2
IDN
13%
18%
69%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
IRN
2 - 0
MTN
95%
4%
1%
|
49 | 89 | 40 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
EGY
3 - 0
MTN
97%
2%
0%
|
49 | 89 | 40 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
MTN
0 - 0
PLE
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |