Gambia vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
51.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
GAM
1 - 2
ALG
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
GAM
1 - 1
BFA
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
NAM
1 - 0
GAM
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
GAM
3 - 0
COD
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
LBR
3 - 2
GAM
29%
25%
45%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
SEN
55%
25%
20%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
BFA
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
NIG
0 - 1
MAR
10%
22%
69%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
3 - 2
MAR
17%
25%
58%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
TUN
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |