CHAN Qualifying Primera Ronda Final
Global 1-1
Gambia vs Guinea-Bisáu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
CGO
1 - 0
GAM
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
GAM
1 - 0
SSD
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
UAE
1 - 1
GAM
70%
19%
12%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
GAM
2 - 2
CHA
71%
20%
9%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
GAM
16%
22%
63%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Guinea-Bisáu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
SLE
2 - 2
GNB
44%
25%
32%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
GNB
5 - 1
STP
72%
16%
11%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ANG
3 - 2
GNB
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
EQG
0 - 3
GNB
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
GNB
0 - 2
NGA
10%
20%
70%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | -1 |