Gambia vs Ivory Coast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
61.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
BDI
3 - 2
GAM
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GAM
2 - 2
CGO
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
SSD
2 - 3
GAM
13%
20%
68%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
GAM
1 - 0
MLI
20%
26%
54%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
MLI
2 - 0
GAM
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
CIV
9 - 0
SYC
89%
9%
2%
|
83 | 29 | 54 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
CIV
1 - 1
RSA
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CIV
1 - 1
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CIV
1 - 0
LSO
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
ZAM
3 - 0
CIV
25%
26%
49%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |