CAF Qualifying Ronda Preliminar Final
Global 3-2
Gambia vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
GAM
16%
22%
63%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
GAM
0 - 2
CMR
19%
26%
56%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
GUI
0 - 1
GAM
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
GAM
1 - 0
TUN
15%
23%
63%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
GAM
1 - 1
MLI
20%
25%
55%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
GAM
16%
22%
63%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
MLI
3 - 0
CHA
82%
14%
4%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 3
NAM
21%
24%
55%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 1
GUI
10%
17%
74%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 0
CHA
84%
12%
5%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | -1 |