Gambia vs Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2008 |
ALG
1 - 0
GAM
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
GAM
1 - 0
ALG
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
GAM
0 - 0
SEN
22%
26%
52%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
LBR
1 - 1
GAM
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
MNG
1 - 1
GAM
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
SEN
3 - 1
LBR
88%
9%
3%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
LBR
2 - 2
SEN
11%
20%
68%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2008 |
ALG
3 - 0
LBR
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
LBR
1 - 1
GAM
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
RWA
4 - 0
LBR
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |