WC Qual. Africa Clasificación Final
Global 2-3
Gambia vs Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
LSO
1 - 0
GAM
20%
24%
56%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
SEN
3 - 1
GAM
69%
21%
11%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
GAM
4 - 1
TKM
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
GAM
0 - 0
SEN
27%
27%
45%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
GAM
0 - 1
NGA
16%
26%
58%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
NIG
1 - 0
LBR
50%
24%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
LBR
1 - 2
GUI
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
LBR
1 - 0
ETH
26%
23%
51%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
ETH
1 - 0
LBR
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
LBR
1 - 0
NIG
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |