League Cup Last 16
Global 4-3
Gamba Osaka vs V-Varen Nagasaki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gamba Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
GAM
1 - 0
SHO
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
VVA
1 - 4
GAM
23%
23%
54%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
JUB
0 - 0
GAM
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
GAM
1 - 1
KAA
27%
24%
48%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
CON
0 - 0
GAM
55%
23%
23%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
VVA
1 - 2
MON
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
VVA
1 - 4
GAM
23%
23%
54%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
MAC
2 - 2
VVA
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
VVA
2 - 3
FAG
64%
23%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
JEF
1 - 4
VVA
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |