Gamba Osaka vs Shonan Bellmare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gamba Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VIS
2 - 2
GAM
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 0
GAM
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
GAM
0 - 0
FCT
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
GAM
0 - 1
RSO
18%
25%
58%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GAM
0 - 1
SHO
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SHO
1 - 2
KAR
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 1
SHO
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
SHO
1 - 1
AVI
38%
28%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GAM
0 - 1
SHO
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SHO
5 - 0
JUB
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |