Gamba Osaka vs Shonan Bellmare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gamba Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
KAA
3 - 1
GAM
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
GAM
2 - 3
VEG
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
GAM
0 - 4
CER
37%
27%
37%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
CER
0 - 1
GAM
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GAM
0 - 1
CER
36%
27%
38%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SHO
1 - 1
AVI
32%
30%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
OIT
2 - 0
SHO
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SHO
0 - 0
URA
23%
27%
50%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
CER
1 - 5
SHO
64%
23%
14%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SHO
1 - 1
SHI
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |