League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gamba Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
JEF
2 - 1
GAM
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
GAM
1 - 0
OIT
36%
26%
39%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
SHI
1 - 1
GAM
47%
24%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
TOK
2 - 3
GAM
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
GAM
1 - 2
FCY
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Shimizu S-Pulse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
JUB
1 - 0
SHI
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
SHI
2 - 2
VEG
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
SHI
1 - 1
GAM
47%
24%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
OIT
0 - 0
SHI
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
SHI
3 - 0
JEF
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |