Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
6.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gamba Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
SAG
2 - 1
GAM
20%
22%
58%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 0
URA
40%
25%
36%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
GAM
3 - 3
SHO
84%
12%
5%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
FCT
1 - 0
GAM
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 3
GAM
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
NAG
1 - 1
KAR
30%
24%
47%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
NAG
0 - 1
SAG
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
JUB
1 - 3
NAG
86%
11%
4%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
AVI
0 - 0
NAG
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SHO
2 - 1
NAG
47%
24%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |