Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gamba Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2009 |
GAM
2 - 1
VEG
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
KAA
1 - 2
GAM
45%
25%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
GAM
2 - 0
JEF
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
KAA
5 - 1
GAM
44%
25%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
SHI
0 - 2
GAM
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2009 |
SHI
1 - 1
NAG
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
NAG
3 - 0
GIF
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
SHI
0 - 0
NAG
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
NAG
2 - 0
MON
60%
22%
17%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAG
53%
23%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |